• Indian Rupee (INR) rises after losses last week
  • Indian manufacturing PMI eases to 57.8
  • US Dollar (USD) rises ahead of manufacturing PMI data
  • US stock market closes at 1pm ET.

The US Dollar Indian Rupee (USD/INR) exchange rate is falling at the start of the week, paring modest gains from last week. The pair rose 0.14% in the previous week, settling on Friday at 82.09. At 10:30 UTC, USD/INR trades -0.24% at 81.86 and trades in a range of 81.76 to 82.14.

The Rupee is showing resilience at the start of the week, hitting a 2-month high on unusual equity inflows and as the Reserve Bank of India is expected to have stepped in.

India’s manufacturing PMI showed strong growth again in June at 57.8. However, this was just down slightly from 58.7 in May. This is still the second-fastest expansion of the year.

The US Dollar is falling against the Rupee but rising against its major peers. The US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback versus a basket of major currencies, trades at +0.3% at the time of writing at 102.82, after trading flat across the previous week.

The US dollar is pushing higher at the start of a busy week under the greenback recovers from weakness on Friday following cooler-than-expected inflation data.

The core PCE index, which is the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation, unexpectedly cooled in May to 4.6%, down from 4.7% suggesting that the year-long tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve was having some impact.

However, the greenback had found support this week, with activity expected to be limited ahead of Tuesday’s Independence Day bank holiday.

Still, there is plenty of data for investors to be focusing on, starting with today’s ISM manufacturing report, which is expected to show that activity contracted at a slower pace. Then manufacturing ISN PMI is expected to tick higher to 47 from 46.9.

Looking across the week, there’s also US services ISM, as well as the nonfarm payroll on Friday, which is expected to be the main event this week. The minutes from the June FOMC meeting are also due to be released on Wednesday.