USD/INR: Rupee Set to Fall on Diminishing Trade Deal Agreement by Year End

Indian Rupee is set to fall on diminishing hopes of a trade deal by year-end. On the interbank market, the USD/INR exchange rate settled up for three consecutive weeks. The pair closed at 71.62 on Friday, surging 0.17% during last week’s trading activity. During the early Asia trading hours and after the London open, Rupee was seen quote slightly lower, around 71.49 against the US dollar.

According to the Chinese President Xi Jinping, China wouldn’t budge on its trade ambitions and “it’s not afraid” of a trade war with the world’s biggest economy. The hope of a trade agreement between the world’s two biggest economies by year-end has diminished after the US Congress backed protesters in Hong Kong.

“As we always said we don’t want to start the trade war, but we are not afraid. When necessary, we will fight back, but we have been working actively to try not to have a trade war,” said China’s Xi during the New Economy Forum, held at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

US President Donald Trump said that he remains confident that an intermediary trade deal can be reached by year-end. However, he also commented that he supported the protesters in Hong Kong.

The domestic benchmark equity index NIFTY 50 closed indecisive during the previous week of trading activity, settling at 11914. However, during early Asia trading hours, NIFTY 50 was seen recovering most of its losses trading at 12050. The Indian 10-year government bond yield closed at 6.47 versus the 6.50 previous closing prices.

The dollar index closed higher during last week’s trading activity settling at 98.27 registering a 0.3% gain.

USD/INR Technical Pattern

On the technical front, the USD/INR exchange rate established a trading range between support level 71.44 and resistance level 71.87 over the past week. As long as the pair is trading above the key 200-day moving average, the bullish momentum might prevail. is a news site only and not a currency trading platform. is a site operated by TransferWise Inc. (“We”, “Us”), a Delaware Corporation. We do not guarantee that the website will operate in an uninterrupted or error-free manner or is free of viruses or other harmful components. The content on our site is provided for general information only and is not intended as an exhaustive treatment of its subject. We expressly disclaim any contractual or fiduciary relationship with you on the basis of the content of our site, any you may not rely thereon for any purpose. You should consult with qualified professionals or specialists before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site. Although we make reasonable efforts to update the information on our site, we make no representations, warranties or guarantees, whether express or implied, that the content on our site is accurate, complete or up to date, and DISCLAIM ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Some of the content posted on this site has been commissioned by Us, but is the work of independent contractors. These contractors are not employees, workers, agents or partners of TransferWise and they do not hold themselves out as one. The information and content posted by these independent contractors have not been verified or approved by Us. The views expressed by these independent contractors on do not represent our views.