GBP/USD: Pound vs. Dollar Awaits Fed's Clues On Monetary Policy
  • Pound (GBP) is under pressure amid fears of a second coronavirus wave
  • Consumer demand on the high street is picking up with retailers less inclined to slash prices
  • US Dollar (USD) holds steady ahead of Federal Reserve rate decision
  • No change to policy is expected and Congress has not agreed a stimulus deal

The Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate is edging lower snapping an 8 session winning streak. The pair has surged from a low of US$1.2510 to a high of US$1.2938 since 17th July. At 06:15 UTC, GBP/USD trades -0.1% at US$1.2917.

Coronavirus cases in the UK are rising quickly with Boris Johnson warning of a second wave within the next two weeks. Rises were recorded each day last week for the first time since the April peak. The seven-day average stands at 700, this is up 28% on three weeks ago. Government officials are now extremely concerned that a second wave could hit before this winter.

Covid and Brexit concerns overshadowed data which showed consumer demand was returning. According to the British Retail Consortium, British retailers discounted their goods by less in July than in the previous months as consumer demand picked up amid the easing of lockdown restrictions.

The BRC reported that average shop prices in July were just 1.3% lower than the same month the previous year. This is an improvement on 1.6% lower in June and 2.4% lower in May. Higher shop prices indicate that consumers are willing to pay more and should boost inflation.

The US Dollar traded flat across the board heading towards the European open amid fears that the US is losing control of the coronavirus outbreak dashing hopes a quick economic recovery.

Florida reported a record number of daily cases whilst Texas hit a grim 400,000 cases milestone, adding pressure on Congress to pass another huge stimulus package. However, talks have stalled with no agreement in sight

The US Federal Reserve will give its monetary policy decision today. No changes are expected from the Fed. Since the last meeting economic data has been broadly improving and had the number of coronavirus cases stabilized or declined then the Fed could have talked about an improving recovery.

However, unfortunately that is not the case and the two biggest threats to the US economy – the rising covid cases and the government’s fiscal response – the Fed has no control over. The picture has deteriorated and expectations are for Fed dovishness to continue. is a news site only and not a currency trading platform. is a site operated by TransferWise Inc. ("We", "Us"), a Delaware Corporation. We do not guarantee that the website will operate in an uninterrupted or error-free manner or is free of viruses or other harmful components. The content on our site is provided for general information only and is not intended as an exhaustive treatment of its subject. We expressly disclaim any contractual or fiduciary relationship with you on the basis of the content of our site, any you may not rely thereon for any purpose. You should consult with qualified professionals or specialists before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site. Although we make reasonable efforts to update the information on our site, we make no representations, warranties or guarantees, whether express or implied, that the content on our site is accurate, complete or up to date, and DISCLAIM ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Some of the content posted on this site has been commissioned by Us, but is the work of independent contractors. These contractors are not employees, workers, agents or partners of TransferWise and they do not hold themselves out as one. The information and content posted by these independent contractors have not been verified or approved by Us. The views expressed by these independent contractors on do not represent our views.