GBP/EUR: Will ECB Draghi Pull Euro Lower vs Pound?

The pound euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate is rising for a fourth day.

The pound is strengthening amid a risk-on market mood, as evidenced by the FTSE 100 reaching a record high on strong corporate earnings and mining stocks.

Falling UK inflation expectations and Andrew Bailey’s testimony yesterday have reinforced expectations of a Bank of England rate cut as early as March.

Political focus remains on the upcoming Gorton and Denton by-election.

The euro is weakening after eurozone inflation was confirmed to have cooled to a 16-month low of 1.7%, below the ECB’s target 2% level for the first time since May 2025, reinforcing expectations that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged this year.