The euro is trading around $1.10 versus the US dollar in early trade on Thursday, on weak German data, after slipping a for a third consecutive session on Wednesday. The euro US dollar exchange rate closed 0.4% lower at US$1.1001, just off its yearly low, as stellar US data releases painted a rosy picture of the US economy.
Euro to United States Dollar – EUR trading on the back foot at the start of European session
The euro is on trading on the back foot at the start of the European session following an unexpected slump in German factory orders. The 2.1% decline month on month in December is the steepest decline in almost a year. The figure was significantly short of 0.7% growth that analysts forecast. It also puts a dampener on suggestions that the manufacturing sector in Europe’s largest economy is slowly starting to improve. Factory orders are considered a key indicator of the strength of an economy because they indicate future output.
Looking ahead investors will now focus on the European Central Bank economic bulletin, due for release shortly and a speech by Christine Lagarde, European Central Bank President later today.
United States Dollar
Whilst concerns surrounding the spread of coronavirus and its potential impact on Chinese and even global growth have kept investors on edge, yesterday’s barrage of US data went some way to alleviating some of those concerns.
US ADP payroll data revealed 291,000 jobs were created in the private sector in January. This was the strongest print in almost half a decade and points to a robust US labour market.
Separately, the ISM non-manufacturing surprised to the upside at 55.5 in January, up from 54.9 in December thanks to improvements in business activity and new orders. The data comes hot on the heels of strong ISM manufacturing data earlier in the week.
Improvements in data have come as relations between US and China have also improved in, particularly since the signing of the US – China first phase trade deal last month.
News of a coronavirus vaccine breakthrough has eased some concerns surrounding the deadly virus, although investors will continue to monitor the situation. Mid-tier data could also attract investors’ attention ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll.