{"id":84343,"date":"2020-01-01T04:30:40","date_gmt":"2020-01-01T09:30:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/?p=84343"},"modified":"2019-12-31T12:42:39","modified_gmt":"2019-12-31T17:42:39","slug":"101927-gbp-eur-yearly-roundup-pair-gains-5-amid-brexit-trade-ecb-developments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/news\/101927-gbp-eur-yearly-roundup-pair-gains-5-amid-brexit-trade-ecb-developments\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/EUR Yearly Roundup: Pair Gains 5% Amid Brexit, Trade &#038; ECB Developments"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The pound rallied over 5% higher versus the euro across 2019. With Brexit developments, the US \u2014 China trade war hitting Germany\u2019s economy hard, further ECB easing and a new European Bank President the past year has been a volatile year for the pair.<\/p>\n<p>The pound rallied versus the euro in the first quarter of 2019, reaching a high of \u20ac1.1801 in March, before slumping across the second and third quarters, striking a nadir of \u20ac1.0639 in August. This was the lowest level that the pound euro exchange rate had traded at since the financial crisis in 2009. The pound rebounded off the mid \u20ac1.06 low to rally into the year end. The pair hit a high of \u20ac1.2082 in December, a level not seen since July 2016, before closing the year comfortably above \u20ac1.17.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Brexit, Brexit, Brexit<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Brexit has been the unquestionable driver of the pound across 2019. Sterling has acted as a fear gauge against a no deal Brexit. As fears of a disorderly Brexit from the European Union fluctuated across the year, so did the value of the pound. Sterling rebounded nearly 10% across the latter half of the year, hitting a 3 year high following a landslide victory for the Conservative Party in Parliamentary elections on 12<sup>th<\/sup> December. The 80-seat majority won by Tory leader Boris Johnson meant that the Withdrawal Bill was quickly ratified in Parliament. The UK is set to leave the EU on 31<sup>st<\/sup> January.<\/p>\n<p>Improved Brexit clarity lifted the pound. However, sterling was unable to hold the gains as Boris Johnson refused to extend the transition period beyond one year. The transition is a year long period within which the UK remains part of the single market and customs union. During this short time frame the UK and the EU will hold complex negotiations to attempt to agree a trade deal. If no deal is agreed the UK will leave the EU on WTO trade rules in a hard Brexit. Fears of a hard, cliff edge Brexit are expected to continue weighing on the pound across the start of 2020 and possibly through much of the year.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Trade, Germany and ECB<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Concerns over the health of the eurozone economy have dominated for much of 2019. Slowing global trade amid the ongoing US \u2014 China trade war weighed particularly heavily on exporter nation Germany\u2019s economy. The manufacturing sector in Europe\u2019s largest economy slid deep into contraction. The German economy, however, narrowly avoided recession thanks to a resilient labour market and strong consumer sector.<\/p>\n<p>Seasonally adjust GDP growth across 28 European countries reached 0.3% in the third quarter, confirming 1.2% annualised growth. Inflation remains lacklustre at just 1% growth year on year. The European Central Bank (ECB) President, Mario Draghi, cut the bank\u2019s overnight lending rate and restarted the ECB\u2019s bond buying programme in September, before he left the ECB in October.<\/p>\n<p>New ECB President, Christine Lagarde said that the euro area remains weak in her first hearing before the European Parliament. Investors will be watching Christine Lagarde\u2019s moves closely heading through the first quarter of 2020, particularly her efforts to get European governments on board to increase fiscal spending. With a phase one trade deal also on the way, the outlook for the global economy is improving which could help the German economy turn a corner and offer some support to the euro.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table width=\"602\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>What do these figures mean?<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>When measuring the value of a pair of currencies, one set equals 1 unit and the other shows the current equivalent. As the market moves, the amount will vary from minute to minute.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>For example, it could be written:<\/p>\n<p>1 GBP = 1.13990 EUR<\/p>\n<p>Here, \u00a31 is equivalent to approximately \u20ac1.14. This specifically measures the pound\u2019s worth against the euro. If the euro amount increases in this pairing, it\u2019s positive for the pound<\/p>\n<p>.<\/p>\n<p>Or, if you were looking at it the other way around:<\/p>\n<p><em>1 EUR = 0.87271 GBP<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In this example, \u20ac1 is equivalent to approximately \u00a30.87. This measures the euro\u2019s worth versus the British pound. If the sterling number gets larger, it\u2019s good news for the euro.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h6><em>Currencylive.com<\/em><em> is a news site only and not a currency trading platform.<\/em><\/h6>\n<h6><em>Currencylive.com is a site operated by TransferWise Inc. (&#8220;We&#8221;, &#8220;Us&#8221;), a Delaware Corporation. We do not guarantee that the website will operate in an uninterrupted or error-free manner or is free of viruses or other harmful components. The content on our site is provided for general information only and is not intended as an exhaustive treatment of its subject. We expressly disclaim any contractual or fiduciary relationship with you on the basis of the content of our site, any you may not rely thereon for any purpose. You should consult with qualified professionals or specialists before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site. Although we make reasonable efforts to update the information on our site, we make no representations, warranties or guarantees, whether express or implied, that the content on our site is accurate, complete or up to date, and DISCLAIM ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Some of the content posted on this site has been commissioned by Us, but is the work of independent contractors. These contractors are not employees, workers, agents or partners of TransferWise and they do not hold themselves out as one. The information and content posted by these independent contractors have not been verified or approved by Us. The views expressed by these independent contractors on currencylive.com do not represent our views.<\/em><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The pound rallied over 5% higher versus the euro across 2019. With Brexit developments, the US \u2014 China trade war hitting Germany\u2019s economy hard, further ECB easing and a new European Bank President the past year has been a volatile year for the pair. The pound rallied versus the euro in the first quarter of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":163946597,"featured_media":5408,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1380,1379],"tags":[1396,1386,1657,1413,1852,1389,1395,1393,1870,1690,1394,1387,1433,1392],"class_list":{"0":"post-84343","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-eur","8":"category-gbp","9":"tag-boris-johnson","10":"tag-brexit","11":"tag-british-pound","12":"tag-ecb","13":"tag-economy","14":"tag-elections","15":"tag-eur","16":"tag-euro","17":"tag-exchange-rates","18":"tag-forex","19":"tag-gbp","20":"tag-inflation","21":"tag-rate-cut","22":"tag-sterling"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>GBP\/EUR Yearly Roundup: Pair Gains 5% Amid Brexit, Trade &amp; 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