{"id":82304,"date":"2019-11-19T04:13:05","date_gmt":"2019-11-19T09:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/?p=82304"},"modified":"2019-11-19T04:31:16","modified_gmt":"2019-11-19T09:31:16","slug":"101532-eur-usd-euro-hits-11-day-high-vs-dollar-on-ecb-talk-trade-deal-pessimism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/news\/101532-eur-usd-euro-hits-11-day-high-vs-dollar-on-ecb-talk-trade-deal-pessimism\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD: Euro Hits 11 Day High vs Dollar On ECB Talk &#038; Trade Deal Pessimism"},"content":{"rendered":"<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/wise.com\/?utm_source=currencylive-com&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_content=news%2Fwp_json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F82304&utm_campaign=news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-65277\" style=\"padding-top: 5px;\" src=\"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/transferwise-inline-banner-money-transfer.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"670\" height=\"125\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Mixed trade headlines and central bank talk saw the euro extend gains versus the dollar. The euro US dollar came within touching distance of US$1.11 before easing back towards the close.<\/p>\n<p>The pair struck a high of US$1.1090, an 11-day high before slipping back to close the day at US$1.1072, in its fourth straight day of gains. The pair is holding SUS$1.1070 at the start of trading on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>Monday was a quiet day as for eurozone economic data. However, European Central Bank officials were out in force, giving speeches ahead of new ECB President Christine Lagarde\u2019s speech at the end of the week.<\/p>\n<h2>ECB Officials Talk Up Fiscal Stimulus<\/h2>\n<p>The euro found some support from comments from the ECB members as they reaffirmed their stance calling for fiscal stimulus. The Slovenian ECB President Bostjan Vasle said that he believed that economic growth in the eurozone had stabilized and that the ECB\u2019s recent stimulus package was working as intended. He said that he didn\u2019t see any reason for making changes to the growth outlook. After the ECB cut overnight interest rates and restarted its bond buying programme in September, Vasle acknowledged that the ECB\u2019s space to ease policy further was limited, putting a burden on fiscal policy makers.<\/p>\n<p>Fiscal stimulus has an inflationary effect; the euro rallied on the prospect of additional government spending. The ECB\u2019s chief economist Lane also commented that Europe needs a big conversation among fiscal policymakers about how to stimulate the economy.<\/p>\n<h3>Christine Lagarde To Push For Fiscal Stimulus?<\/h3>\n<p>ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak on Friday in Germany. The former chief of the International Monetary Fund has been vocal in her support for fiscal stimulus for the eurozone. Investors will be keen to see how Christine Lagarde changes up the messaging on fiscal stimulus. The former President Mario Draghi harped on about fiscal stimulus for his entire tenure, without any results. Will Christine Lagarde try a new angle to attempt o get the likes of Germany on board?<\/p>\n<p>Today euro investors will look towards low tier data in the form of construction output figures for the eurozone in September. In August construction output fell -0.5% month on month, a weak reading today could weigh on demand for the euro. Wednesday sees the release of the ECB\u2019s financial stability review. Thursday could see an increase in volatility for the euro, as investors digest OECD economic outlook and the minutes from the latest European Central Bank meeting.<\/p>\n<h2>Trade Messages &amp; Fed \/ Trump Meeting Weigh On Dollar<\/h2>\n<p>The dollar trended lower versus its peers on Monday amid mixed trade messages and after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was called to the White House to speak with President Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Reports that the White House would extend a licence to allow US companies to do business with Chinese telecom firm Huawei competed with reports that China was growing increasingly sceptical about reaching a trade deal with the US anytime soon. According to media reports, China is sceptical a phase one trade deal can be reached amid the reluctance of the US to rollback trade tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>Optimism has turned to pessimism so many times throughout these trade talks which investors have followed for months. What is becoming clear is that if the trade deal was easy, then it would have been signed by now.<\/p>\n<h3>Trump Exerting Pressure On Fed?<\/h3>\n<p>The dollar also came under pressure after it was revealed that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attended a meeting at the White House with President a Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Trump tweeted that they discussed the economy, employment level, the dollar and inflation. The meeting comes after relentless criticism from President Trump over Federal Reserve monetary policy and the strength of the dollar.<\/p>\n<p>Investors will be concerned that Trump is exerting pressure on Jerome Powell to ease policy further in an attempt to weaken the dollar, hitting demand for the dollar. Fed Powell has continually insisted that the decisions that the Fed take over monetary policy are based entirely on information that bears on the outlook of the economy.<\/p>\n<h3>Mid-Tier Data Ahead Of Wednesday\u2019s FOMC Minutes<\/h3>\n<p>Turning to US economic data. Today there are no high impacting releases. Investors could glance towards mid-tier data, such as housing starts and building permits, which are expected to show an improvement in October compared to September. Stronger data could help the dollar rebound.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead Wednesday sees the release of the minutes to the US Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. This is the meeting where the Federal Reserve decided to finish cutting rates for this cycle. Jerome Powell appeared before Congress last week and repeated the message that the US economy was in recovery mode, but that policy is appropriate. Dollar investors were disappointed by the prospect of low rates for longer. Should the minutes repeat this message, the dollar could edge lower.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/wise.com\/?utm_source=currencylive-com&utm_medium=affiliate&utm_content=news%2Fwp_json%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F82304&utm_campaign=news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-65277\" style=\"padding-top: 5px;\" src=\"https:\/\/currencylive.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/transferwise-inline-banner-money-transfer.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"670\" height=\"125\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>What do these figures mean?<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When measuring the value of a pair of currencies, one set equals 1 unit and the other shows the current equivalent. As the market moves, the amount will vary from minute to minute.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, it could be written:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1 EUR = 1.12829 USD<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here, \u20ac1 is equivalent to approximately $1.13. This specifically measures the euro\u2019s worth against the dollar. If the U.S. dollar amount increases in this pairing, it\u2019s positive for the euro.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Or, if you were looking at it the other way around:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">1 USD = 0.88789 EUR<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this example, $1 is equivalent to approximately \u20ac0.89. This measures the U.S. dollar\u2019s worth versus the euro. If the euro number gets larger, it\u2019s good news for the dollar.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h6><em>Currencylive.com<\/em><em> is a news site only and not a currency trading platform.<\/em><\/h6>\n<h6><em>Currencylive.com is a site operated by TransferWise Inc. (&#8220;We&#8221;, &#8220;Us&#8221;), a Delaware Corporation. We do not guarantee that the website will operate in an uninterrupted or error-free manner or is free of viruses or other harmful components. The content on our site is provided for general information only and is not intended as an exhaustive treatment of its subject. We expressly disclaim any contractual or fiduciary relationship with you on the basis of the content of our site, any you may not rely thereon for any purpose. You should consult with qualified professionals or specialists before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site. Although we make reasonable efforts to update the information on our site, we make no representations, warranties or guarantees, whether express or implied, that the content on our site is accurate, complete or up to date, and DISCLAIM ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Some of the content posted on this site has been commissioned by Us, but is the work of independent contractors. These contractors are not employees, workers, agents or partners of TransferWise and they do not hold themselves out as one. The information and content posted by these independent contractors have not been verified or approved by Us. The views expressed by these independent contractors on currencylive.com do not represent our views.<\/em><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mixed trade headlines and central bank talk saw the euro extend gains versus the dollar. The euro US dollar came within touching distance of US$1.11 before easing back towards the close. The pair struck a high of US$1.1090, an 11-day high before slipping back to close the day at US$1.1072, in its fourth straight day [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":163946597,"featured_media":5589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1380,1381],"tags":[1481,1413,1395,1393,1438,1445,1415,1479,1400,1397,1398],"class_list":{"0":"post-82304","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-eur","8":"category-usd","9":"tag-christine-lagarde","10":"tag-ecb","11":"tag-eur","12":"tag-euro","13":"tag-federal-reserve","14":"tag-jerome-powell","15":"tag-trade-dispute","16":"tag-trade-talks","17":"tag-trump","18":"tag-us-dollar","19":"tag-usd"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>EUR\/USD: Euro Hits 11 Day High vs Dollar On ECB Talk &amp; 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